- Altcoins struggle with Bitcoin dominance, but some analysts see signs of a potential comeback.
- Altcoin season index hits a multi-month low — contrarian signals suggest a possible reversal.
Altcoins are bleeding, but not everyone’s out of hope.
CoinMarketCap’s altseason index has slumped to 17 — nowhere near the level that marks a healthy altcoin cycle.
With a staggering $600 billion erased from the market and altcoin capitalization down 38% from its all-time high, the mood is grim. Still, some analysts aren’t throwing in the towel.
Beneath the wreckage, they see early signs of rotation and the groundwork for a possible comeback.
Is this the market bottom altcoins have been crawling toward — or just a brief pause before another flush?
Altcoins hit multi month low
CoinMarketCap’s Altcoin Season Index has plunged to 17 at press time, signaling deep Bitcoin season territory.
Source: CoinMarketCap
Only 17 out of the top 100 altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin over the last 90 days, while the total altcoin market cap has shed $600 billion — down 38% from its $1.64 trillion all-time high.
Similarly, BlockchainCenter’s index has dropped to its lowest level since October 2024. Interestingly, that prior dip was followed by a sharp altcoin rebound, suggesting history may be poised to repeat.
Source: X
While the current trend reflects risk-off sentiment and Bitcoin dominance, seasoned traders note that such low altseason readings often precede strong altcoin rotations.
For now, caution dominates — but contrarian signals are quietly building.
What experts have to say
Market watchers are divided on what the current altcoin season index plunge truly means. Binance founder CZ acknowledged the challenge of outperforming Bitcoin in this climate, calling the metric a “tough ranking system,” and adding,
“50 is probably a really good score.”
Others are more skeptical of a comeback altogether. Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, believes the classic altseason model may be outdated, stating,
Bitcoin-driven crypto asset rotations have effectively ended with regulations and institutional adoption. New capital would flow through stablecoins or widely adopted altcoins – nothing like a traditional altseason.
Is altseason still on the table?
Source: Alphractal
Recent data from Alphractal shows that just 1 out of 57 tracked altcoins has outperformed Bitcoin over the past 72 hours — highlighting the extent of the current downturn.
The Altcoin Season Index has plunged deep into “Bitcoin Season” territory, while the percentage of outperforming altcoins hovers near record lows.
Source: Alphratal
Still, some analysts remain hopeful. Joao Wedson, CEO of Alphractal, believes that an altcoin season is going to happen in the coming days, citing exhaustion in large-cap selling and the likelihood of small-cap pumps.
If historical extremes are anything to go by, a reversal may be due — but for now, momentum remains firmly in Bitcoin’s favor.
